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  الصفحة الرئيسية / كتب منشورة / وجهات نظر مصرفية (ج1) / Jordanian Capital Market

 

 

Jordanian Capital Market

"Present and Future Outlook"

Presented to a Seminar on

"Asset and Liability Management"

Held at

The Institute of Banking Studies

November, 1996

Jordanian Capital Market

"Present and Future Outlook"

   Capital markets are the outcome of centuries of development of business financing, providing an evolving and increasingly efficient means by which governments and corporations have access to different maturities of funding, both in debt and in equity.

   Borrowers, lenders and investors within the market are all very diverse in terms of needs and requirements. They, therefore, have different preferences and conceptions for risk and reward. This, in fact, has led to the evolution of new instruments and products diversified enough to meet different needs of all parties. Evolution and innovation of other instruments will continue in the future to cover all requirements.

   Capital markets consist of a group of units or institutions, which facilitate the process of intermediation between centers of both monetary surpluses and deficits. By performing such a task, the financial markets play a vital role in availing needed finance within national economies to enhance investments and maintain sustained economic growth. The linking of international capital markets has added further importance to the role played by these markets and facilitated capital mobility across national borders.

   The importance of capital markets stems from the functions they carry out, which include:

-         Setting up of a proper mechanism for allocating funds between savors and investors.

-         Preserving and maintaining domestic savings by providing investment opportunities.

-         Facilitating the accumulation of capital for short as well as for long-term investments.

-         Constituting a mechanism, which both buyers and sellers can use, to determine the real value of traded securities.

-         Representing an organized system, through which financial papers can be exchanged for money and vice versa.

-         Providing an important indicator of the state of the economy through the movements in the prices of securities.

 

   Capital markets are to be further enhanced by the availability of a stable and favorable investment climate, the existence of an integral financial system (banks and financial institutions) together with specialized technical expertise, the awareness of the role played by capital markets, and the existence of an advanced network of communication.

    My presentation will focus on the current status of the Jordanian capital market and its future outlook. In this respect, I will first touch upon the importance of capital markets and their role in availing financial resources needed by deficit sectors of the economy. This will be preceded by a quick review of the historical development of the market, the financial institutions operating in it, and the financial tools available. Afterwards, I shall try to evaluate the conditions of the Jordanian capital market, recent trends taking place and the obstacles facing its evolution into an advanced market.

 

1. Introduction:

   For the past 20 years, the international financial markets have been witnessing an enormous wave of development, which was the direct result of various factors, the most important of which are the computer revolution, the increasing globalization of these markets and the trends of disintermediation.

   Prior to 1975, the task of financial intermediation was undertaken by four major kinds of institutions, which dominated the market at the time:

-         Commercial banks: which used to collect savers' deposits and re-lend them again to investors at a suitable margin.

-         Insurance Companies: these companies collect money by selling insurance policies to customers and employing proceeds in relatively save investments, such as medium and long-term government treasury bonds. By doing so, the insurance companies were capable of playing the financial intermediation role.

-         Brokers: besides common brokerage activities, brokers are engaged in the process of issuing, underwriting and trading in financial papers against certain brokerage fees.

-         Investment banks: such banks used to provide their customers with financial consultancy services needed to find suitable cost effective sources of finance.

 

    Sources of finance were limited to loans from commercial banks or insurance companies, issuance of bonds and other financial papers to be sold in the financial markets.

    Competition, among companies trading in commercial papers, was notable limited, and their income was safely secured by pre-fixed fees. The risk factor was almost absent because the main activity of these companies concentrated on brokerage. Even in certain cases where these companies used to carry a stock of inventory, their risk remained minimal due to the stability of interest rate environment.

    However, this simple system has been replaced during the past couple of decades by an extremely advanced and competitive one. This replacement came as a result of the excessive pressures created by the vast changes still taking place in the world financial markets at present.

    In addition to the boom experienced by the financial markets in the field of technology, information and financial products introduced into the market, the so-called financial engineers were capable of introducing new instruments, the most important of which may be referred to as the securitization of loans (turning loans into financial papers that can be traded and liquidated quickly). These new developments enabled investors to borrow directly from the market at a cost significantly lower than the cost charged by the banks.

    However, the deregulation of the banking industry and allowing banks to deal in commercial papers and undertake brokerage activities have worked effectively in eliminating distinctions between financial institutions and commercial banks. Banks were able to undertake securitization activities and pass lending risks to bearers of financial papers, which enabled these banks eventually to lower their costs.

    Nowadays, the international financial markets stand to represent extremely complicated systems in terms of the variety of financial institutions, segmentation of markets and the instruments and products provided to customers.

   Financial markets are divided into money and capital markets. Money markets are designed for making short-term loans, where individuals and institutions with temporary surpluses of funds meet others who have temporary shortages of funds, thus helping both parties to manage their liquidity.

   Financing working capital needs for business and temporary needs of government, until taxis collected, is the main function of money markets. In contrast, capital markets are designed for long-term investment by both business and government. Availability of funds in capital markets made the construction of factories, highways, industries and schools possible.

    The usual distinction between money and capital markets is the maturity of the credit instruments in which they deal. By common consent, money market instruments are those with maturities of one year or less; capital market instruments lie beyond that range. This leaves a wide range for capital market instruments. In addition, capital markets include financial instruments with no maturity, such as stocks.

   Money market instruments, which are characterized by their high liquidity and short-term maturity (less than one year), consist of the following:

1-        Treasury bills.

2-        Commercial papers.

3-        Bankers acceptances.

4-        Dealers loans and repurchase agreements (Repos).

5-        Negotiable certificates of deposits.

6-        Surplus reserve funds.

7-        Treasury notes.

 

   The most significant function of money markets is to provide economic units with financial facilities needed for adjusting their liquidity positions.

   Capital markets, on the other hand, can be divided into two major segments:

-         Debt market: the part of the market where dealings are in instruments issued to raise funds by borrowing.

Securities traded in this market usually fall within the following generic categories:

·         Government bonds.

·         Government agencies bonds.

·         Local government bonds.

·         Corporate bonds.

-         Equity market: the part of the market where dealings are in instruments issued to raise funds for business ventures. The variety of instruments under this category is limited, and restricted to the following:

·         Ordinary shares (Common Stock).

·         Preferred Stocks and Share Warrants.

·         Convertible Preferred Stokes.

 

2. The Jordanian Financial Market:

   Despite the fact that our subject is about the capital market, I shall attempt to review the two parts of the Jordanian financial market, the capital market as well as the money market, due to the significant role of the money market in availing finance compared with limited role of the capital market.

 

A. Historical Overview:

   Until 1964, the financial market in Jordan mainly consisted of (9) commercial banks working under very conservative policies due to the lack of a central bank. The monetary authority was in the hands of Jordan Money Council, whose only duty was to issue the Jordanian currency against the full coverage of the British Pound.

   The establishment of the CBJ was the first serious step to develop an organized financial market in Jordan because this market is necessary to secure the success of monetary policies.

   In 1966, a number of financial regulations were issued among which was the public Dept Law, permitting the government to borrow internally through the issuance of treasury bills and bonds. The first such issue was done in January 1969 representing the cornerstone of the Jordanian financial market.

   In 1971, medium-term government bonds were issued heralding the advent of an organized capital market. This was followed by the establishment of Amman Financial Market (AFM) in 1978 as well as the creation of many investment banks and financial companies.

   These developments, that Jordan witnessed in the past two decades, especially in the second half of the 1970s, were the most important among all developments that the Jordanian economy has undergone. The more significant of these were the promulgation of banking and financial regulations, establishment of many institutions, creation of a variety of financing instruments and the substantial growth in the assets of the banking system and in the size of its operations. This enabled it to play an ever-growing role in accumulating savings and directing them into investments in different economic sectors.

    In general, the evolution of the Jordanian capital market passed through three distinguished stages, namely:

-         First Stage:

      This stage, extended from 1984 until 1978, was 

   characterized by the existence of a limited variety of

   financial papers, which were not commonly  

   widespread. Legal reforms accomplished during the  

   period of the 1960s did not affect the capital market,

   which remained notably unorganized.

     During this period, the private sector depended, in  

   financing its investments, on its own resources    

   together with the government participation in the

   establishment of a few public shareholding

   companies.

-         Second Stage:

   This stage, extended from 1978 until 1992, started with the establishment of Amman Financial Market. AFM was created to organize and supervise the issuing and trading of financial papers (i.e. stocks and bonds). This market has succeeded in achieving most of its targets, and has helped to a great extent in the establishment of several projects vital for the Jordanian economy. It is worth mentioning that the total number of companies listed in the market has increased significantly over the past few years.     

-         Third Stage:

      This stage started during the year 1992 and     

   extends to present days. It is characterized by the  

   introduction of major structural reforms. In this

   respect, the government has been working very hard

   to amend laws related to the operation of the

   financial market, the most important of which is the

      Amman Financial Market Law, where a new law for

       financial papers will be issued shortly.

 

B. Foundations of the Jordanian Financial Market:

    The financial market in Jordan relies on three major elements or factors:

a)        The variety and number of financial institutions necessary to create a modern sophisticated financial market including:

1-        the Central Bank of Jordan.

2-        14 commercial banks including the Housing and Islamic banks, which have many branches covering Jordan.

3-        6 investment banks.

4-        Special Lending Institutions including:

·         Agricultural credit institutions including Agricultural Lending Corp. and the Co-operative Organization.

·         The Industrial Development Bank specializing in industrial lending.

·         Institutions specializing in housing credit including the Housing Bank and the Corporation for Housing and Urban Development.

·         Cities and Villages Development Bank.

5-        Government and semi-government investment institutions, including the following:

·         Social Security Corporation.

·         Jordan Investment Corporation.

·         Postal Savings Fund.

6-        20 insurance companies.

7-        Amman Financial Market (AFM).

8-        27 stock brokerage firms.

b)        The Suitability of the Investment Environment:

Jordan enjoys an excellent investment environment for the following reasons:

1-        Political stability.

2-        Good relations between employer and employee in the society.

3-        An increasingly liberal economic system.

4-        A highly qualified work force.

5-        The stability of the exchange rate for the national currency.

6-        The availability of tax and tariff duty exemptions.

7-        Protection against nationalization and confiscation.

c)        The Availability of Different Instruments:

A good and reasonable number of financial instruments do exist within the Jordanian financial market. This fact was the result of the variety of issuers and specialized financial institutions undertaking the role of intermediating between borrowers and lenders.

 

C. Instruments in the Jordanian Financial Market:

    Financial market instruments are the products issued and exchanged in this market. They include money market instruments and capital market instruments. Among the most important instruments used in Jordan are the following:

1-                 Deposits:

  No specific financial instrument is issued in this case, and as such there is no secondary market for these deposits. However, the development of the primary deposit market allows the development of a secondary market for interbank deposits, despite the limitedness of this market at present.

2-                 Banker Acceptances:

          Banker acceptances are time drafts, that are   

       bank-accepted or guaranteed. This instrument is

       the outcome of internal or external trade

       transactions. Such acceptances are used as a

       money market instrument and are usually traded

       at a discount from their par value. It is however,

           worth noting that no secondary market exists for

           this instrument in Jordan.

3-                 Commercial Paper:

  The only type of commercial papers known in Jordan is short-term notes issued by borrowers in favor of banks, which buy them at discount, at specified amounts for a short period of time. The usage of this instrument is very limited and no secondary market is known to exist for it.

4-                 Certificates of Deposits:

  It is relatively a new instrument in the Jordanian money market. These certificates are usually issued either through public offering or upon request. CD's have not had much success in both secondary and primary markets due to the lack of sufficient marketing to the public. No statistics are available as to their size relevant to other deposits at the current time.

  In undertaking its monetary policy, the Central Bank of Jordan replaced the issuance of treasury bonds by certificates of deposit carrying high interest. However, despite the high volume of these CD's (outstanding balance of about 550 million JD), no secondary market has developed for them.

5-                 Stocks:

  The creation of AFM in 1987 had a great impact on increasing the number of shares offered for public subscription. Shares traded at AFM are common stocks because the Jordanian Companies Law does not permit the issuance of preferred stocks. Nevertheless, preferred stock is well-known in the Jordanian market because two companies were allowed to issue such shares by special decree (the Housing Bank and Industrial Development Bank).

  It is expected that the new Companies Law will provide for the issuance of preferred stock by any company adding a new instrument to the financial market.

6-                 Government Bonds:

  These bonds are issued by power of the Public Debt Law enacted in 1966 for the purpose of creating a cornerstone for the capital market and as an arm for monetary policy. This law provided for two methods of public borrowing (i.e. treasury bills and treasury bonds). The Jordanian market contains four types of government bonds:

a.       Treasury Bills:

  The first such issuance was made on January 1969, constituting the core of the money market in Jordan. These bills are issued every 3 months and are sold at a discount by public subscription at an interest rate of 4.5%. interest on T-bills is 50% tax-exempted.

  The Public Debt Law set a maximum limit for issuing T-bills so that it does not exceed 25% of the average value of the revenues of the last 3 fiscal years, or from the total value of currency in use, whichever is greater.

b.       Treasury Bonds:

  Treasury bonds (T-bonds) were first issued in 1986 with a maturity of two years. Such bonds are sold at a discount, mainly to commercial banks.   

c.        Public Corporation Bonds:

  These are government bonds issued to finance independent government corporations at interest rates comparable to those charged on development bonds. Most of these bonds are held by commercial banks.

d.       Government Bonds:

  These bonds were basically issued for development purposes starting year 1961. a good share of these bonds are held by commercial banks. Trading in government bonds was first initiated at Amman Financial Market back in 1979, however, with limited activity. Because of the good features these bonds exhibit (reasonably high return, tax exemption and high liquidity), commercial banks and other financial institutions acquired the larger portion of government bond issues.

7-                 Corporate Bonds:

  Public corporations started issuing this kind of bonds back in 1978. However, the financial market was not active enough with regards to these bonds due to the high competitiveness of other debt instruments available within the market.

  The total outstanding balance of corporate bonds stood at JD8.2 million by the end of 1995, and the total volume of trading in these bonds did not exceed JD 319 thousands during 1995.

8-                 Syndicated Loans:

  These loans are considered one of the most important developments in the Jordanian financial market that took place at the end of the 1970s in the field of large and medium-term financing. This instrument provided a good and effective financing alternative to satisfy the increasing needs of large borrowers.

 

3. Amman Stock Exchange:

   Due to the relative weakness and limitedness of other aspects of the Jordanian capital market, the Amman Financial Market (ATM) will be exposed and analyzed as the main representative of the capital market in Jordan.

    When Amman Financial Market commenced its activity in 1978, the total number of listed companies was 57 with a total authorized share capital of JD 246 million. By September 1996, this number increased to 98 companies (in addition to 34 companies traded in the parallel market) with authorized capital of JD 1860 million. The total market value of these shares stood at JD 3111 million as of 30/9/1996.

 

Listed Companies

Unlisted

Companies

Organized market

Parallel market

1991

102

7

7

1992

103

6

12

1993

101

13

14

1994

95

21

35

1995

97

29

52

9/1996

98

34

64

 

   In addition, the total number of companies waiting to be listed at the Amman Financial Market (AFM) amounted to 64 companies. It is worth mentioning that the total number of companies enlisted at the organized market in Jordan exceeds that in both markets of Tunisia and Morocco.

 

A. Performance of the Stock Exchange:

    The performance of Amman Stock Exchange will be highlightened and analyzed in terms of various indicators, including the volume of trading, prices of stock, total market capitalization, the volume of primary issues, non-Jordanian ownership in share-holding companies, in addition to a comparative analysis.

1.       Trading Volume:

       Amman Stock Exchange has witnessed a remarkable growth in terms of trading volume, which  increased significantly from JD 5.6 million in 1978 (its establishment year) to JD 969 million in 1993,  before it declined to JD 495 million and JD 419  million during 1994 and 1995 respectively.

                                                                                      Volume in JD '000

                                                                              Number in shares '000

      

 

Total Trading Volume

Original mkt.

Parallel market

Grand Total

Number

Value

Number

Value

Number

Value

1991

156.821

292.420

4.956

10.417

161.777

302.837

1992

344.759

878.758

5.891

8.193

350.650

886.951

1993

244.314

933.365

26.1244

35.248

270.438

968.613

1994

133.818

430.330

1.658

64.746

175.476

495.076

1995

125.071

362.127

50.133

56.831

175.204

481.958

9/1996

73.016

141.223

40.255

26.312

113.271

167.535

 

      On the other hand, comparing Amman Stock Exchange with other emerging and advanced markets in terms of total trading volume as a percentage of total market capitalization, it can be noted that this percentage recorded in Amman Stock Exchange, which stood at 13.1% in the year 1995, is lower than similar percentages prevailing within other emerging financial markets 54.5% and advanced financial markets 66.9%.

   Trading volume calculated as a percentage of Gross Domestic Products (GDP), Money Supply/liquidity (M2), and total market capitalization, was noted to be at its highest levels during the year 1992.

 

Trading

Volume/

GDP

Trading

Volume/

M2

Market

Capitaliza-

tion/GDP

Trad. Volume/

Market

Capitalization

1991

10.2%

7.9%

59.2%

17.3%

1992

25.2%

21%

65%

38.7%

1993

24%

20.8%

86.5%

27.8%

1994

10.3%

8.9%

77.1%

13.3%

1995

7.8%

7%

71.6%

10.9%

 

2.       Prices of Stocks:

   The prices of stocks in Amman Stock Exchange have fluctuated significantly during the past years. This can be best shown by the Share Price Index.

 

Share Price Index

Weighted by Mkt. Capitalization

(Dec. 1991=100)

1978

58.6

1982

138.2

1986

72.4

1990

80.4

1991

100

1993

158.5

1995

159.17

6/1996

141.1

   In terms of changes in the prices of shares, the history of (AFM) can be divided and categorized into the following periods: 

·         The Period from 1979-1982:

   Prices increased during this period, and Share Price Index rose from 67.9 points in 1979 to 138.2 points in 1982.

·         The Period from 1983-1986:

  Prices started to decline during this period, and Share Price Index reached 72.4 points by the end of this period.

·         The Period from 1987-1989:

  Prices started once again to increase until the Share Price Index stood at 93.3 points.

·         The Period from 1991-1993:

  This period witnessed significant increases in the prices of stocks and shares. The Share Price Index rose from 100 points in 1991 to 158.5 points in 1993.

·         The Period from 1994-1995:

  During this period, prices went down, and the Share Price Index decreased to 143.6 points in 1994. this movement was reversed during 1995, and Share Price Index increased to 159.2 points.

 

3.       Market Capitalization:

  The total market capitalization of the subscribed shares stood at JD 286 million in the establishment year of the Amman Stock Exchange. It continued to increase over the years until it reached JD 3310 million by the end of 1995.

                                                 JD Million

 

Listed Companies at the Organized Market

Book Value

Market Capitalization

1991

1194.3

1689.8

1992

1282.1

2270.7

1993

1361.7

3360.1

1994

1580.1

3233

1995

1694.8

3310.7

9/1996

1859.6

3111

 

   After peaking at JD 3.36 billion in 1993, the total capitalization of companies listed at the organized market started to decline as a result of the tangible drop in the prices of shares, which has been taking place in July 1993.

  Market capitalization in Jordan, calculated as a percentage of GDP, is considered one of the highest in the world. This percentage amounted to 80% in 1995 similar to that prevailing in the USA. In japan this percentage reached 73%, 64% in Canada, and 129% in the United Kingdom. As for other emerging markets, this percentage recorded 18% in Egypt and 25% in Colombia.

4.       Primary Issues:

  The volume of primary issues (shares issued) in Jordan witnessed significant fluctuations during the past period. This volume stood at a total of JD 12 million in 1978, and it continued to increase until it reached JD 62 in 1983. Primary issues remained stable during the period 1984/91 at an annual average of JD 15 million. However, starting 1992, the movement of primary issues gained more momentum as it reached JD 55 million, JD 463 million and JD 330 million during 1992, 1994 and 1995 respectively.

 

Total

Shares

Bonds Issues

Total

Value

Development Bonds

Corporate Bonds

1991

20.722

38.000

0

58.722

1992

54.609

6.000

0

60.906

1993

228.395

8.000

3.000

239.395

1994

463.296

15.500

8.000

486.796

1995

330.294

26.000

0

356.294

9/1996

120.149

28.000

0

148.149

  Total primary issues, as a percentage of the total capital investment expenditure, stood at 4.5% in 1978. This percentage continued to increase until it reached 33.3% in 1994 before it went down to 22% in 1995.

5.       Non-Jordanian Ownership in Shareholding Companies:

   The non-Jordanian ownership in shareholding companies listed at the Amman Stock Exchange amounted to 31% of the total market capitalization of the subscribed shares.

 

% Age of Non-Jordanian Ownership in Shareholding Companies

Banks &

Finance

Insurance

Sector

Services

Sector

Industrial

Sector

Total

1994

1995

3/1996

6/1996

8/1996

46.7%

46.3%

46.5%

46.8%

47.7%

16.0%

15.7%

16.1%

15.6%

15.8%

2.9%

3.3%

2.9%

3.5%

4.3%

23.6%

19.9%

20.4%

22.7%

21.6%

31.1%

31.0%

31.3%

33.0%

32.3%

       The Arab ownership of the shares in shareholding companies enlisted at the Amman Stock Exchange constituted the largest share of the non-Jordanian ownership. Contrary, the non-Arab ownership of shares of shareholding companies stood at only 1.7% of the total ownership.

      However, despite the insignificance of this percentage (Non-Arab ownership of total ownership), recent trends and observations within the financial market indicate that many foreign investors have expressed and shown an increasing interest in the Jordanian market, and hence, this percentage or share is expected to increase over the coming few years.

6.       Comparison with Other Markets:

  Comparing the performance of the Jordanian Stock Exchange with other Middle East Stock Exchanges, other emerging markets and the financial markets of the industrialized countries, a clear idea about the progress can be conceived in this area. 

 

Comparative Performance

Of Emerging Capital Markets, 1994

Mkt.

Capitalization

US$ mm.

Mkt.

Capitalization

% of GDP

Number of

Domestic

Cos.

Price

Earning

Ratio

Price Book

Value

Ratio

Dividend

Yield

Largest Mkt.

Share

M.E.Countries:

-Egypt

 

4.263

 

9.4

 

700

 

..

 

..

 

..

 

..

- Iran

2.770

3.7

147

..

..

..

..

- Jordan

4.594

81.6

95

20.77

1.71

2.44

45.8

- Morocco

4.376

14.1

61

..

..

..

..

- Tunisia

2.561

16.1

21

..

..

..

..

- Turkey

21.605

17.1

176

30.99

6.35

3.57

48.6

Oth.Emerg.Mkt.:

- Argentina

 

36.864

 

13.1

 

156

 

17.71

 

1.42

 

2.91

 

41.7

- Chile

68.195

130.7

279

21.36

21.54

2.41

46.4

- Colombia

14.028

21.1

113

19.54

1.38

1.70

61.2

- Greece

14.921

15.6

216

10.42

1.89

4.61

37.2

- India

127.515

45.5

7.000

26.67

4.17

0.98

19.4

- Nigeria

2.711

6.6

177

6.00

1.59

8.37

49.3

- Thailand

131.479

91.8

389

21.16

3.70

1.98

35.6

Indust. Mkt.:

- Japan

 

3.719.914

 

81.0

 

2.205

 

97.30

 

2.17

 

0.70

 

..

- United Kingdom

1.210.245

118.1

2.070

14.80

2.20

4.20

..

- United States

5.081.810

75.4

7.770

16.90

2.61

2.90

..

   It is noticed here that the market capitalization, valued in millions of US Dollars, of the Jordanian market exceeds that of Egypt, Iran, Morocco and Tunisia. The market capitalization, as a percentage of GDP, is similar to those prevailing in industrialized countries.

 

B. The Bonds Market in Jordan:

    Bonds that are available for trading within the Jordanian market are only of the following types:

-         Development bonds.

-         Treasury bonds.

-         Treasury bills.

-         Corporation bonds.

  1. Primary Issues of Bonds:

   The volume of issued within the bond market is extremely limited in Jordan. Only a limited amount of development bonds was issued during 1994 and 1995 with a value of JD 15.5 and 26 million respectively. As for corporate bonds, there was only one issuance of JD 8 million during 1994. 

 

Primary Issues of Bonds

Development

Bonds Issued

Corporate

Bonds Issued

1991

38.000

0

1992

6.000

0

1993

8.000

3.000

1994

15.500

8.000

1995

26.000

0

9/1996

28.000

0

 

  1. Trading in Bonds:

   Trading in bonds within the Jordanian market has always been slow, and the total volume traded fluctuated during period from 1991 to 1995 between JD 1.5 million and JD 12.2 million in market value, as the following table shows.

                                                                 JD '000

 

Development

Bonds

Treasury

Bonds

Treasury

Bills

Corporate

Bonds

Par

Value

Mkt.

Value

Par

Value

Mkt.

Value

Par

Value

Mkt.

Value

Par

Value

Mkt.

Value

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

9/1996

1068

3982

4338

5306

11930

4030

1070

4226

4556

3506

11932

3854

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

367

86

94

869

307

601

379

90

95

869

307

601

 

4. Jordanian Capital Mkt.: Comparative Performance:

    Jordan, like many other developing countries, has been working seriously to develop its capital market as the government views this segment of the financial market as a crucial part of the economic infrastructure. The government's conception of the importance of this market stems from the role capital markets play in facilitating economic growth and the functions they perform in the fields of pooling fund savings, allocating risks, and facilitating intermediation between savers and investors.

    To this end, the underdeveloped banking system of the seventies has, in the last 25 years, tripled in number, and the total number of branches has simultaneously increased from 41 branches to more than 400 branches spread all over the Kingdom.

    The deepening of the financial system during the past 25 years covered many areas. In this regard, intermediation has been enhanced, the payment system was improved, and an active stock exchange was established.

   The banking system played an effective role as an intermediator between short-term savings and long-term financing requirements. The total credit facilities extended by banks rose from 20% of GDP in 1970 to 80.2% of GDP in 1995 reflecting the extent of the private sector's financing.

   This expansion has extended to include, in addition to commercial banks, other specialized credit institutions, whose total loans and advances to private and public sectors stood at 21.6% of GDP in 1995 compared to 7% only in early 1970s.

   The performance of the financial system was further enhanced by the establishment of the Amman Financial Market (AFM), which developed into one of the leading financial markets in the Middle East region. The Amman Financial Market ranked 5th among 45 emerging markets in terms of total return index in 1992. The percentage of the Jordanian market capitalization to GDP, which stood at 74% in 1992, exceeded that of most emerging markets and is similar to that of industrial countries.

   Efficient capital markets will continue to add to and enhance the benefits provided to a developing economy. The most prominent of these benefits are:

-         Attracting foreign investments and increasing domestic savings as a result of spanning the risk-return space.

-         Increasing efficiency within the whole fiancial sector as a result of the increased competition, which will eventually benefit the national economy.

-         Saving the time needed to find the best and cheapest source of finance, thus, reducing the production cost of the entrepreneur.

-         Increasing the efficiency in allocating resources between various economic units.

-         Creating an adequate supply of various maturity funds within the market.

 

5. Success Factors:

    Capital markets do capture an essential role in maintaining economic growth and stimulating investment activities especially in modern economic system dependent on activities of both the private and public sectors in gathering capital and channeling it through suitable investment channels.

   The importance of capital markets gained further momentum with the acceleration of the privatization process. In the old development model based on the public sector, the need for an advanced capital market was limited as the government's budget constituted the main source of finance for major projects in the country. However, with the structural reforms covering all aspects of economic life and the fast transformation towards more liberalization, which we are experiencing today, the role of the private sector gained more importance, and the need for an advanced capital market persistently emerged.

   The success factors for an efficient capital market do lie in the provision of a reliable information base, which avails periodically quantitative financial and economic data, that is clear, accurate and transparent. This will enable investors and qualify them to take suitable investment decisions and avoid possible risks.

   In addition, there are certain financial institutions needed to facilitate the functioning of the capital markets, which are absent in our market. These institutions are:

-         Market Makers:

   Such companies undertake to collect and analyze information and data, which are of remarkable significance to market traders, dealers and investors allowing them to take successful decisions. These companies represent safe factors in capital markets through intervening in the market as buyers when prices are going down and sellers in case prices are going up to smooth sharp fluctuations within capital markets.

-         Rating Companies:

   The presence of dependable rating institutions adds more reliability to capital markets and confirms the existence of clear disclosure and transparency for these companies, whose shares and stocks are traded within the capital market. The ratings issued by these companies are imperative for investors to ponder when making their investment decisions.

 

7.       Reforms of the Financial Sector:

   As previously said, the world financial markets are passing today through a period of fundamental transformation due to the technological developments, introduction of innovative financial instruments and trends of disintermediation, deregulation and globalization characterizing this period. The call for more liberalization of the money and capital markets, which came within the context of the World Trade Organization agreements, has gained momentum, and concrete arrangements and procedures are taking place towards this end.

    These drastic changes in the world capital markets are expected to have serious implications on the financial systems of countries within the region. Fierce competition predominant within existing financial markets, which is expected to intensify as a result of the recent trends taking place, shall definitely influence capital markets existing worldwide without any exception.

    Accordingly, all countries are required to adjust and amend their laws and systems according to these persistent trends. Otherwise, they will be isolated from the rest of the world, which has become dominated by the called "survival of the fittest" philosophy.

   Jordan, consciously aware of the significance of these changes and transformation, has already implemented some reforms to certain aspects of the financial market with many other reforms to be introduced in the near future. The strategy in this direction, in general terms, entails the following:

-         Controlling monetary conditions through using indirect instruments.

-         Maintaining positive interest rates in real terms with relatively more flexibility in this regard compared to the past in order to achieve efficient market-based mobilization and allocation of loanable funds.

-         Using the Certificates of Deposits (CDs) in local currency issued by the Central Bank to respond to shifts in the flow of foreign assets and movements in the rate of exchange, in addition to maintaining the liquidity of the banking system in consistency with the stability of domestic prices.

-         Eliminating redundant monetary control instruments, and improving, at the same time, the efficiency of the remaining tools.

-         Creating the proper environment for developing efficient interbank market.

-         Improving the efficiency of the whole system through enhancing competition among financial institutions, mainly commercial banks and specialized credit institutions.

 

   In fact, all those who are familiar with the Jordanian financial market are in a better position to feel the considerable progress achieved in various areas of structural reform, with the authorities' intention to remove and eliminate all other impediments in other areas.

 

7. Future Trends to Develop Capital Market:

   Government authorities in fact have an integrated future conception and a clear program aiming at developing the Jordanian capital market. This program includes the amendment of laws and regulations influencing this market, in addition to the introduction of new financial instruments.

   In this respect, the financial market will have the priority for introducing necessary amendments, which shall include the following:

1.        The amendment of financial market-related regulations, including the following:

-         The separation of the securities regulation function from the stock exchange management.

-         The privatization of Amman Financial Market.

-         Creation of a Central Depository.

-         Exchange of listing with other markets.

-         Strict financial disclosure regulations.

2.        The introduction of new financial institutions and instruments:

-         Mutual funds.

-         Securities underwriters.

-         Speculative securities (out options, call options, ..etc.).

 

   The Jordanian financial market has grown considerably well over the past 25 years, evidenced by the sharp increase in the ratio of money and quasi money to GDP, which rose from 60% during the 1970s to over 100% during the early years of the 1990s.

   The financial system was also adversely affected by the financial crisis of the late 1980s. However, it did not take the financial sector more than 3-4 years to recover as a result of the implementation of structural reforms, a general rebounding of the economy's activities after 1992 and the associated profitability of commercial banks in the country.

   Although the financial system has more depth than before, it is still dominated by a small number of domestic banks. The variety of financial instruments for both users and providers of funds is rather limited, and the capital market, with the exception of the stock market, is very thin. Henceforth, the challenges in Jordan's case is like challenges in any other developing country, which is represented by the challenge of funding the most efficient investments while managing risks and integrating with the world financial markets.

    To summarize, the financial system is one of the most important inventions in modern societies. The main job of this system is to allocate scarce laonable funds between those who save to those who need to borrow either for consumption or for investment purposes.

   By availing funds for lending and borrowing, the financial system provides the means for the economy to grow and consequently improve standards of living of the people.

   Most of the credit extended goes normally to purchase machinery and equipment, to construct new highways, factories and schools, and to stock shelves of shops, supermarkets and department stores with goods.

   Needless to say that without the financial system, the life of every one of us could be less enjoyable.

 

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