Jordanian Capital Market
"Present and Future Outlook"
Presented to a Seminar on
"Asset and Liability Management"
Held at
The
Institute
of Banking Studies
November, 1996
Jordanian Capital Market
"Present and Future Outlook"
Capital markets are the outcome of
centuries of development of business
financing, providing an evolving and
increasingly efficient means by which
governments and corporations have access
to different maturities of funding, both
in debt and in equity.
Borrowers, lenders and investors within
the market are all very diverse in terms
of needs and requirements. They,
therefore, have different preferences and
conceptions for risk and reward. This, in
fact, has led to the evolution of new
instruments and products diversified
enough to meet different needs of all
parties. Evolution and innovation of other
instruments will continue in the future to
cover all requirements.
Capital markets consist of a group of
units or institutions, which facilitate
the process of intermediation between
centers of both monetary surpluses and
deficits. By performing such a task, the
financial markets play a vital role in
availing needed finance within national
economies to enhance investments and
maintain sustained economic growth. The
linking of international capital markets
has added further importance to the role
played by these markets and facilitated
capital mobility across national borders.
The importance of capital markets stems
from the functions they carry out, which
include:
-
Setting up of a proper mechanism for
allocating funds between savors and
investors.
-
Preserving and maintaining domestic
savings by providing investment
opportunities.
-
Facilitating the accumulation of capital
for short as well as for long-term
investments.
-
Constituting a mechanism, which both
buyers and sellers can use, to determine
the real value of traded securities.
-
Representing an organized system, through
which financial papers can be exchanged
for money and vice versa.
-
Providing an important indicator of the
state of the economy through the movements
in the prices of securities.
Capital markets are to be further
enhanced by the availability of a stable
and favorable investment climate, the
existence of an integral financial system
(banks and financial institutions)
together with specialized technical
expertise, the awareness of the role
played by capital markets, and the
existence of an advanced network of
communication.
My presentation will focus on the
current status of the Jordanian capital
market and its future outlook. In this
respect, I will first touch upon the
importance of capital markets and their
role in availing financial resources
needed by deficit sectors of the economy.
This will be preceded by a quick review of
the historical development of the market,
the financial institutions operating in
it, and the financial tools available.
Afterwards, I shall try to evaluate the
conditions of the Jordanian capital
market, recent trends taking place and the
obstacles facing its evolution into an
advanced market.
1. Introduction:
For the past 20 years, the
international financial markets have been
witnessing an enormous wave of
development, which was the direct result
of various factors, the most important of
which are the computer revolution, the
increasing globalization of these markets
and the trends of disintermediation.
Prior to 1975, the task of financial
intermediation was undertaken by four
major kinds of institutions, which
dominated the market at the time:
-
Commercial banks:
which used to collect savers' deposits and
re-lend them again to investors at a
suitable margin.
-
Insurance Companies:
these companies collect money by selling
insurance policies to customers and
employing proceeds in relatively save
investments, such as medium and long-term
government treasury bonds. By doing so,
the insurance companies were capable of
playing the financial intermediation role.
-
Brokers:
besides common brokerage activities,
brokers are engaged in the process of
issuing, underwriting and trading in
financial papers against certain brokerage
fees.
-
Investment banks:
such banks used to provide their customers
with financial consultancy services needed
to find suitable cost effective sources of
finance.
Sources of finance were limited to
loans from commercial banks or insurance
companies, issuance of bonds and other
financial papers to be sold in the
financial markets.
Competition, among companies trading
in commercial papers, was notable limited,
and their income was safely secured by
pre-fixed fees. The risk factor was almost
absent because the main activity of these
companies concentrated on brokerage. Even
in certain cases where these companies
used to carry a stock of inventory, their
risk remained minimal due to the stability
of interest rate environment.
However, this simple system has been
replaced during the past couple of decades
by an extremely advanced and competitive
one. This replacement came as a result of
the excessive pressures created by the
vast changes still taking place in the
world financial markets at present.
In addition to the boom experienced by
the financial markets in the field of
technology, information and financial
products introduced into the market, the
so-called financial engineers were capable
of introducing new instruments, the most
important of which may be referred to as
the securitization of loans (turning loans
into financial papers that can be traded
and liquidated quickly). These new
developments enabled investors to borrow
directly from the market at a cost
significantly lower than the cost charged
by the banks.
However, the deregulation of the
banking industry and allowing banks to
deal in commercial papers and undertake
brokerage activities have worked
effectively in eliminating distinctions
between financial institutions and
commercial banks. Banks were able to
undertake securitization activities and
pass lending risks to bearers of financial
papers, which enabled these banks
eventually to lower their costs.
Nowadays, the international financial
markets stand to represent extremely
complicated systems in terms of the
variety of financial institutions,
segmentation of markets and the
instruments and products provided to
customers.
Financial markets are divided into
money and capital markets. Money markets
are designed for making short-term loans,
where individuals and institutions with
temporary surpluses of funds meet others
who have temporary shortages of funds,
thus helping both parties to manage their
liquidity.
Financing working capital needs for
business and temporary needs of
government, until taxis collected, is the
main function of money markets. In
contrast, capital markets are designed for
long-term investment by both business and
government. Availability of funds in
capital markets made the construction of
factories, highways, industries and
schools possible.
The usual distinction between money
and capital markets is the maturity of the
credit instruments in which they deal. By
common consent, money market instruments
are those with maturities of one year or
less; capital market instruments lie
beyond that range. This leaves a wide
range for capital market instruments. In
addition, capital markets include
financial instruments with no maturity,
such as stocks.
Money market instruments, which are
characterized by their high liquidity and
short-term maturity (less than one year),
consist of the following:
1-
Treasury bills.
2-
Commercial papers.
3-
Bankers acceptances.
4-
Dealers loans and repurchase agreements (Repos).
5-
Negotiable certificates of deposits.
6-
Surplus reserve funds.
7-
Treasury notes.
The most significant function of money
markets is to provide economic units with
financial facilities needed for adjusting
their liquidity positions.
Capital markets, on the other hand, can
be divided into two major segments:
-
Debt market:
the part of the market where dealings are
in instruments issued to raise funds by
borrowing.
Securities traded in this market usually
fall within the following generic
categories:
·
Government bonds.
·
Government agencies bonds.
·
Local government bonds.
·
Corporate bonds.
-
Equity market:
the part of the market where dealings are
in instruments issued to raise funds for
business ventures. The variety of
instruments under this category is
limited, and restricted to the following:
·
Ordinary shares (Common Stock).
·
Preferred Stocks and Share Warrants.
·
Convertible Preferred Stokes.
2. The Jordanian Financial Market:
Despite the fact that our subject is
about the capital market, I shall attempt
to review the two parts of the Jordanian
financial market, the capital market as
well as the money market, due to the
significant role of the money market in
availing finance compared with limited
role of the capital market.
A. Historical Overview:
Until 1964, the financial market in
Jordan mainly consisted of (9) commercial
banks working under very conservative
policies due to the lack of a central
bank. The monetary authority was in the
hands of Jordan Money Council, whose only
duty was to issue the Jordanian currency
against the full coverage of the British
Pound.
The establishment of the CBJ was the
first serious step to develop an organized
financial market in Jordan because this
market is necessary to secure the success
of monetary policies.
In 1966, a number of financial
regulations were issued among which was
the public Dept Law, permitting the
government to borrow internally through
the issuance of treasury bills and bonds.
The first such issue was done in January
1969 representing the cornerstone of the
Jordanian financial market.
In 1971, medium-term government bonds
were issued heralding the advent of an
organized capital market. This was
followed by the establishment of Amman
Financial Market (AFM) in 1978 as well as
the creation of many investment banks and
financial companies.
These developments, that Jordan
witnessed in the past two decades,
especially in the second half of the
1970s, were the most important among all
developments that the Jordanian economy
has undergone. The more significant of
these were the promulgation of banking and
financial regulations, establishment of
many institutions, creation of a variety
of financing instruments and the
substantial growth in the assets of the
banking system and in the size of its
operations. This enabled it to play an
ever-growing role in accumulating savings
and directing them into investments in
different economic sectors.
In general, the evolution of the
Jordanian capital market passed through
three distinguished stages, namely:
-
First Stage:
This stage, extended from 1984 until 1978,
was
characterized by the existence of a
limited variety of
financial papers, which were not
commonly
widespread. Legal reforms accomplished
during the
period of the 1960s did not affect the
capital market,
which remained notably unorganized.
During this period, the private
sector depended, in
financing its investments, on its own
resources
together with the government
participation in the
establishment of a few public
shareholding
companies.
-
Second Stage:
This stage, extended from 1978 until
1992, started with the establishment of
Amman Financial Market. AFM was created to
organize and supervise the issuing and
trading of financial papers (i.e. stocks
and bonds). This market has succeeded in
achieving most of its targets, and has
helped to a great extent in the
establishment of several projects vital
for the Jordanian economy. It is worth
mentioning that the total number of
companies listed in the market has
increased significantly over the past few
years.
-
Third Stage:
This stage started during the year 1992
and
extends to present days. It is
characterized by the
introduction of major structural
reforms. In this
respect, the government has been
working very hard
to amend laws related to the operation
of the
financial market, the most important of
which is the
Amman Financial Market Law, where a
new law for
financial papers will be issued
shortly.
B. Foundations of the Jordanian Financial
Market:
The financial market in Jordan relies
on three major elements or factors:
a)
The variety and number of financial
institutions necessary to create a modern
sophisticated financial market including:
1-
the Central Bank of
Jordan.
2-
14 commercial banks including the Housing
and Islamic banks, which have many
branches covering
Jordan.
3-
6 investment banks.
4-
Special Lending Institutions including:
·
Agricultural credit institutions including
Agricultural Lending Corp. and the
Co-operative Organization.
·
The Industrial Development Bank
specializing in industrial lending.
·
Institutions specializing in housing
credit including the Housing Bank and the
Corporation for Housing and Urban
Development.
·
Cities and Villages Development Bank.
5-
Government and semi-government investment
institutions, including the following:
·
Social Security Corporation.
·
Jordan Investment Corporation.
·
Postal Savings Fund.
6-
20 insurance companies.
7-
Amman
Financial Market (AFM).
8-
27 stock brokerage firms.
b)
The Suitability of the Investment
Environment:
Jordan enjoys an excellent investment
environment for the following reasons:
1-
Political stability.
2-
Good relations between employer and
employee in the society.
3-
An increasingly liberal economic system.
4-
A highly qualified work force.
5-
The stability of the exchange rate for the
national currency.
6-
The availability of tax and tariff duty
exemptions.
7-
Protection against nationalization and
confiscation.
c)
The Availability of Different Instruments:
A good and reasonable number of financial
instruments do exist within the Jordanian
financial market. This fact was the result
of the variety of issuers and specialized
financial institutions undertaking the
role of intermediating between borrowers
and lenders.
C. Instruments in the Jordanian Financial
Market:
Financial market instruments are the
products issued and exchanged in this
market. They include money market
instruments and capital market
instruments. Among the most important
instruments used in Jordan are the
following:
1-
Deposits:
No specific financial instrument is
issued in this case, and as such there is
no secondary market for these deposits.
However, the development of the primary
deposit market allows the development of a
secondary market for interbank deposits,
despite the limitedness of this market at
present.
2-
Banker Acceptances:
Banker acceptances are time drafts,
that are
bank-accepted or guaranteed. This
instrument is
the outcome of internal or external
trade
transactions. Such acceptances are
used as a
money market instrument and are
usually traded
at a discount from their par value.
It is however,
worth noting that no secondary
market exists for
this instrument in Jordan.
3-
Commercial Paper:
The only type of commercial papers known
in Jordan is short-term notes issued by
borrowers in favor of banks, which buy
them at discount, at specified amounts for
a short period of time. The usage of this
instrument is very limited and no
secondary market is known to exist for it.
4-
Certificates of Deposits:
It is relatively a new instrument in the
Jordanian money market. These certificates
are usually issued either through public
offering or upon request. CD's have not
had much success in both secondary and
primary markets due to the lack of
sufficient marketing to the public. No
statistics are available as to their size
relevant to other deposits at the current
time.
In undertaking its monetary policy, the
Central Bank of
Jordan
replaced the issuance of treasury bonds by
certificates of deposit carrying high
interest. However, despite the high volume
of these CD's (outstanding balance of
about 550 million JD), no secondary market
has developed for them.
5-
Stocks:
The creation of AFM in 1987 had a great
impact on increasing the number of shares
offered for public subscription. Shares
traded at AFM are common stocks because
the Jordanian Companies Law does not
permit the issuance of preferred stocks.
Nevertheless, preferred stock is
well-known in the Jordanian market because
two companies were allowed to issue such
shares by special decree (the Housing Bank
and Industrial Development Bank).
It is expected that the new Companies
Law will provide for the issuance of
preferred stock by any company adding a
new instrument to the financial market.
6-
Government Bonds:
These bonds are issued by power of the
Public Debt Law enacted in 1966 for the
purpose of creating a cornerstone for the
capital market and as an arm for monetary
policy. This law provided for two methods
of public borrowing (i.e. treasury bills
and treasury bonds). The Jordanian market
contains four types of government bonds:
a.
Treasury Bills:
The first such issuance was made on
January 1969, constituting the core of the
money market in
Jordan. These bills are issued every 3
months and are sold at a discount by
public subscription at an interest rate of
4.5%. interest on T-bills is 50%
tax-exempted.
The Public Debt Law set a maximum limit
for issuing T-bills so that it does not
exceed 25% of the average value of the
revenues of the last 3 fiscal years, or
from the total value of currency in use,
whichever is greater.
b.
Treasury Bonds:
Treasury bonds (T-bonds) were first
issued in 1986 with a maturity of two
years. Such bonds are sold at a discount,
mainly to commercial banks.
c.
Public Corporation Bonds:
These are government bonds issued to
finance independent government
corporations at interest rates comparable
to those charged on development bonds.
Most of these bonds are held by commercial
banks.
d.
Government Bonds:
These bonds were basically issued for
development purposes starting year 1961. a
good share of these bonds are held by
commercial banks. Trading in government
bonds was first initiated at Amman
Financial Market back in 1979, however,
with limited activity. Because of the good
features these bonds exhibit (reasonably
high return, tax exemption and high
liquidity), commercial banks and other
financial institutions acquired the larger
portion of government bond issues.
7-
Corporate Bonds:
Public corporations started issuing this
kind of bonds back in 1978. However, the
financial market was not active enough
with regards to these bonds due to the
high competitiveness of other debt
instruments available within the market.
The total outstanding balance of
corporate bonds stood at JD8.2 million by
the end of 1995, and the total volume of
trading in these bonds did not exceed JD
319 thousands during 1995.
8-
Syndicated Loans:
These loans are considered one of the
most important developments in the
Jordanian financial market that took place
at the end of the 1970s in the field of
large and medium-term financing. This
instrument provided a good and effective
financing alternative to satisfy the
increasing needs of large borrowers.
3. Amman Stock Exchange:
Due to the relative weakness and
limitedness of other aspects of the
Jordanian capital market, the Amman
Financial Market (ATM) will be exposed and
analyzed as the main representative of the
capital market in
Jordan.
When Amman Financial Market commenced
its activity in 1978, the total number of
listed companies was 57 with a total
authorized share capital of JD 246
million. By September 1996, this number
increased to 98 companies (in addition to
34 companies traded in the parallel
market) with authorized capital of JD 1860
million. The total market value of these
shares stood at JD 3111 million as of
30/9/1996.
|
|
Listed Companies |
Unlisted
Companies |
|
Organized market |
Parallel market |
|
1991 |
102 |
7 |
7 |
|
1992 |
103 |
6 |
12 |
|
1993 |
101 |
13 |
14 |
|
1994 |
95 |
21 |
35 |
|
1995 |
97 |
29 |
52 |
|
9/1996 |
98 |
34 |
64 |
In addition, the total number of
companies waiting to be listed at the
Amman Financial Market (AFM) amounted to
64 companies. It is worth mentioning that
the total number of companies enlisted at
the organized market in Jordan exceeds
that in both markets of Tunisia and
Morocco.
A. Performance of the Stock Exchange:
The performance of Amman Stock Exchange
will be highlightened and analyzed in
terms of various indicators, including the
volume of trading, prices of stock, total
market capitalization, the volume of
primary issues, non-Jordanian ownership in
share-holding companies, in addition to a
comparative analysis.
1.
Trading Volume:
Amman Stock Exchange has witnessed a remarkable growth in terms of trading
volume, which increased significantly from JD 5.6
million in 1978 (its establishment year) to JD 969
million in 1993, before it declined to JD 495 million
and JD 419 million during 1994 and 1995
respectively.
Volume
in JD '000
Number
in shares '000
|
|
Total Trading Volume |
|
Original mkt. |
Parallel market |
Grand Total |
|
Number |
Value |
Number |
Value |
Number |
Value |
|
1991 |
156.821 |
292.420 |
4.956 |
10.417 |
161.777 |
302.837 |
|
1992 |
344.759 |
878.758 |
5.891 |
8.193 |
350.650 |
886.951 |
|
1993 |
244.314 |
933.365 |
26.1244 |
35.248 |
270.438 |
968.613 |
|
1994 |
133.818 |
430.330 |
1.658 |
64.746 |
175.476 |
495.076 |
|
1995 |
125.071 |
362.127 |
50.133 |
56.831 |
175.204 |
481.958 |
|
9/1996 |
73.016 |
141.223 |
40.255 |
26.312 |
113.271 |
167.535 |
On the other hand, comparing Amman Stock
Exchange with other emerging and advanced
markets in terms of total trading volume
as a percentage of total market
capitalization, it can be noted that this
percentage recorded in Amman Stock
Exchange, which stood at 13.1% in the year
1995, is lower than similar percentages
prevailing within other emerging financial
markets 54.5% and advanced financial
markets 66.9%.
Trading volume calculated as a
percentage of Gross Domestic Products
(GDP), Money Supply/liquidity (M2), and
total market capitalization, was noted to
be at its highest levels during the year
1992.
|
|
Trading
Volume/
GDP |
Trading
Volume/
M2 |
Market
Capitaliza-
tion/GDP |
Trad. Volume/
Market
Capitalization |
|
1991 |
10.2% |
7.9% |
59.2% |
17.3% |
|
1992 |
25.2% |
21% |
65% |
38.7% |
|
1993 |
24% |
20.8% |
86.5% |
27.8% |
|
1994 |
10.3% |
8.9% |
77.1% |
13.3% |
|
1995 |
7.8% |
7% |
71.6% |
10.9% |
2.
Prices of Stocks:
The prices of stocks in Amman Stock
Exchange have fluctuated significantly
during the past years. This can be best
shown by the Share Price Index.
|
|
Share Price Index
Weighted by Mkt. Capitalization
(Dec. 1991=100) |
|
1978 |
58.6 |
|
1982 |
138.2 |
|
1986 |
72.4 |
|
1990 |
80.4 |
|
1991 |
100 |
|
1993 |
158.5 |
|
1995 |
159.17 |
|
6/1996 |
141.1 |
In terms of changes in the prices of
shares, the history of (AFM) can be
divided and categorized into the following
periods:
·
The Period from 1979-1982:
Prices increased during this period,
and Share Price Index rose from 67.9
points in 1979 to 138.2 points in 1982.
·
The Period from 1983-1986:
Prices started to decline during this
period, and Share Price Index reached 72.4
points by the end of this period.
·
The Period from 1987-1989:
Prices started once again to increase
until the Share Price Index stood at 93.3
points.
·
The Period from 1991-1993:
This period witnessed significant
increases in the prices of stocks and
shares. The Share Price Index rose from
100 points in 1991 to 158.5 points in
1993.
·
The Period from 1994-1995:
During this period, prices went down,
and the Share Price Index decreased to
143.6 points in 1994. this movement was
reversed during 1995, and Share Price
Index increased to 159.2 points.
3.
Market Capitalization:
The total market capitalization of the
subscribed shares stood at JD 286 million
in the establishment year of the Amman
Stock Exchange. It continued to increase
over the years until it reached JD 3310
million by the end of 1995.
JD Million
|
|
Listed Companies at the Organized
Market |
|
Book Value |
Market Capitalization |
|
1991 |
1194.3 |
1689.8 |
|
1992 |
1282.1 |
2270.7 |
|
1993 |
1361.7 |
3360.1 |
|
1994 |
1580.1 |
3233 |
|
1995 |
1694.8 |
3310.7 |
|
9/1996 |
1859.6 |
3111 |
After peaking at JD 3.36 billion in 1993,
the total capitalization of companies
listed at the organized market started to
decline as a result of the tangible drop
in the prices of shares, which has been
taking place in July 1993.
Market capitalization in
Jordan, calculated as a percentage of GDP,
is considered one of the highest in the
world. This percentage amounted to 80% in
1995 similar to that prevailing in the
USA. In japan this percentage reached 73%,
64% in
Canada,
and 129% in the United Kingdom. As for
other emerging markets, this percentage
recorded 18% in Egypt and 25% in Colombia.
4.
Primary Issues:
The volume of primary issues (shares
issued) in
Jordan witnessed significant fluctuations
during the past period. This volume stood
at a total of JD 12 million in 1978, and
it continued to increase until it reached
JD 62 in 1983. Primary issues remained
stable during the period 1984/91 at an
annual average of JD 15 million. However,
starting 1992, the movement of primary
issues gained more momentum as it reached
JD 55 million, JD 463 million and JD 330
million during 1992, 1994 and 1995
respectively.
|
|
Total
Shares |
Bonds Issues |
Total
Value |
|
Development Bonds |
Corporate Bonds |
|
1991 |
20.722 |
38.000 |
0 |
58.722 |
|
1992 |
54.609 |
6.000 |
0 |
60.906 |
|
1993 |
228.395 |
8.000 |
3.000 |
239.395 |
|
1994 |
463.296 |
15.500 |
8.000 |
486.796 |
|
1995 |
330.294 |
26.000 |
0 |
356.294 |
|
9/1996 |
120.149 |
28.000 |
0 |
148.149 |
Total primary issues, as a percentage of
the total capital investment expenditure,
stood at 4.5% in 1978. This percentage
continued to increase until it reached
33.3% in 1994 before it went down to 22%
in 1995.
5.
Non-Jordanian Ownership in Shareholding
Companies:
The non-Jordanian ownership in
shareholding companies listed at the Amman
Stock Exchange amounted to 31% of the
total market capitalization of the
subscribed shares.
|
|
% Age of Non-Jordanian Ownership in
Shareholding Companies |
|
Banks &
Finance |
Insurance
Sector |
Services
Sector |
Industrial
Sector |
Total |
|
1994
1995
3/1996
6/1996
8/1996 |
46.7%
46.3%
46.5%
46.8%
47.7% |
16.0%
15.7%
16.1%
15.6%
15.8% |
2.9%
3.3%
2.9%
3.5%
4.3% |
23.6%
19.9%
20.4%
22.7%
21.6% |
31.1%
31.0%
31.3%
33.0%
32.3% |
The Arab ownership of the shares in
shareholding companies enlisted at the
Amman Stock Exchange constituted the
largest share of the non-Jordanian
ownership. Contrary, the non-Arab
ownership of shares of shareholding
companies stood at only 1.7% of the total
ownership.
However, despite the insignificance
of this percentage (Non-Arab ownership of
total ownership), recent trends and
observations within the financial market
indicate that many foreign investors have
expressed and shown an increasing interest
in the Jordanian market, and hence, this
percentage or share is expected to
increase over the coming few years.
6.
Comparison with Other Markets:
Comparing the performance of the
Jordanian Stock Exchange with other Middle
East Stock Exchanges, other emerging
markets and the financial markets of the
industrialized countries, a clear idea
about the progress can be conceived in
this area.
|
|
Comparative Performance
Of Emerging Capital Markets, 1994 |
|
Mkt.
Capitalization
US$ mm. |
Mkt.
Capitalization
% of GDP |
Number of
Domestic
Cos. |
Price
Earning
Ratio |
Price Book
Value
Ratio |
Dividend
Yield |
Largest Mkt.
Share |
|
M.E.Countries:
-Egypt |
4.263 |
9.4 |
700 |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
|
- Iran |
2.770 |
3.7 |
147 |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
|
- Jordan |
4.594 |
81.6 |
95 |
20.77 |
1.71 |
2.44 |
45.8 |
|
- Morocco |
4.376 |
14.1 |
61 |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
|
- Tunisia |
2.561 |
16.1 |
21 |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
|
- Turkey |
21.605 |
17.1 |
176 |
30.99 |
6.35 |
3.57 |
48.6 |
|
Oth.Emerg.Mkt.:
- Argentina |
36.864 |
13.1 |
156 |
17.71 |
1.42 |
2.91 |
41.7 |
|
- Chile |
68.195 |
130.7 |
279 |
21.36 |
21.54 |
2.41 |
46.4 |
|
- Colombia |
14.028 |
21.1 |
113 |
19.54 |
1.38 |
1.70 |
61.2 |
|
- Greece |
14.921 |
15.6 |
216 |
10.42 |
1.89 |
4.61 |
37.2 |
|
- India |
127.515 |
45.5 |
7.000 |
26.67 |
4.17 |
0.98 |
19.4 |
|
- Nigeria |
2.711 |
6.6 |
177 |
6.00 |
1.59 |
8.37 |
49.3 |
|
- Thailand |
131.479 |
91.8 |
389 |
21.16 |
3.70 |
1.98 |
35.6 |
|
Indust. Mkt.:
- Japan |
3.719.914 |
81.0 |
2.205 |
97.30 |
2.17 |
0.70 |
.. |
|
- United Kingdom |
1.210.245 |
118.1 |
2.070 |
14.80 |
2.20 |
4.20 |
.. |
|
- United States |
5.081.810 |
75.4 |
7.770 |
16.90 |
2.61 |
2.90 |
.. |
It is noticed here that the market
capitalization, valued in millions of US
Dollars, of the Jordanian market exceeds
that of
Egypt, Iran, Morocco and Tunisia. The
market capitalization, as a percentage of
GDP, is similar to those prevailing in
industrialized countries.
B. The Bonds Market in
Jordan:
Bonds that are available for trading
within the Jordanian market are only of
the following types:
-
Development bonds.
-
Treasury bonds.
-
Treasury bills.
-
Corporation bonds.
-
Primary Issues of Bonds:
The volume of issued within the bond
market is extremely limited in Jordan.
Only a limited amount of development bonds
was issued during 1994 and 1995 with a
value of JD 15.5 and 26 million
respectively. As for corporate bonds,
there was only one issuance of JD 8
million during 1994.
|
|
Primary Issues of Bonds |
|
Development
Bonds Issued |
Corporate
Bonds Issued |
|
1991 |
38.000 |
0 |
|
1992 |
6.000 |
0 |
|
1993 |
8.000 |
3.000 |
|
1994 |
15.500 |
8.000 |
|
1995 |
26.000 |
0 |
|
9/1996 |
28.000 |
0 |
-
Trading in Bonds:
Trading in bonds within the Jordanian
market has always been slow, and the total
volume traded fluctuated during period
from 1991 to 1995 between JD 1.5 million
and JD 12.2 million in market value, as
the following table shows.
JD '000
|
|
Development
Bonds |
Treasury
Bonds |
Treasury
Bills |
Corporate
Bonds |
|
Par
Value |
Mkt.
Value |
Par
Value |
Mkt.
Value |
Par
Value |
Mkt.
Value |
Par
Value |
Mkt.
Value |
|
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
9/1996 |
1068
3982
4338
5306
11930
4030 |
1070
4226
4556
3506
11932
3854 |
0
0
0
0
0
0 |
0
0
0
0
0
0 |
0
0
0
0
0
0 |
0
0
0
0
0
0 |
367
86
94
869
307
601 |
379
90
95
869
307
601 |
4. Jordanian Capital Mkt.: Comparative
Performance:
Jordan, like many other developing
countries, has been working seriously to
develop its capital market as the
government views this segment of the
financial market as a crucial part of the
economic infrastructure. The government's
conception of the importance of this
market stems from the role capital markets
play in facilitating economic growth and
the functions they perform in the fields
of pooling fund savings, allocating risks,
and facilitating intermediation between
savers and investors.
To this end, the underdeveloped
banking system of the seventies has, in
the last 25 years, tripled in number, and
the total number of branches has
simultaneously increased from 41 branches
to more than 400 branches spread all over
the Kingdom.
The deepening of the financial system
during the past 25 years covered many
areas. In this regard, intermediation has
been enhanced, the payment system was
improved, and an active stock exchange was
established.
The banking system played an effective
role as an intermediator between
short-term savings and long-term financing
requirements. The total credit facilities
extended by banks rose from 20% of GDP in
1970 to 80.2% of GDP in 1995 reflecting
the extent of the private sector's
financing.
This expansion has extended to include,
in addition to commercial banks, other
specialized credit institutions, whose
total loans and advances to private and
public sectors stood at 21.6% of GDP in
1995 compared to 7% only in early 1970s.
The performance of the financial system
was further enhanced by the establishment
of the Amman Financial Market (AFM), which
developed into one of the leading
financial markets in the Middle East
region. The Amman Financial Market ranked
5th among 45 emerging markets
in terms of total return index in 1992.
The percentage of the Jordanian market
capitalization to GDP, which stood at 74%
in 1992, exceeded that of most emerging
markets and is similar to that of
industrial countries.
Efficient capital markets will continue
to add to and enhance the benefits
provided to a developing economy. The most
prominent of these benefits are:
-
Attracting foreign investments and
increasing domestic savings as a result of
spanning the risk-return space.
-
Increasing efficiency within the whole
fiancial sector as a result of the
increased competition, which will
eventually benefit the national economy.
-
Saving the time needed to find the best
and cheapest source of finance, thus,
reducing the production cost of the
entrepreneur.
-
Increasing the efficiency in allocating
resources between various economic units.
-
Creating an adequate supply of various
maturity funds within the market.
5. Success Factors:
Capital markets do capture an
essential role in maintaining economic
growth and stimulating investment
activities especially in modern economic
system dependent on activities of both the
private and public sectors in gathering
capital and channeling it through suitable
investment channels.
The importance of capital markets
gained further momentum with the
acceleration of the privatization process.
In the old development model based on the
public sector, the need for an advanced
capital market was limited as the
government's budget constituted the main
source of finance for major projects in
the country. However, with the structural
reforms covering all aspects of economic
life and the fast transformation towards
more liberalization, which we are
experiencing today, the role of the
private sector gained more importance, and
the need for an advanced capital market
persistently emerged.
The success factors for an efficient
capital market do lie in the provision of
a reliable information base, which avails
periodically quantitative financial and
economic data, that is clear, accurate and
transparent. This will enable investors
and qualify them to take suitable
investment decisions and avoid possible
risks.
In addition, there are certain
financial institutions needed to
facilitate the functioning of the capital
markets, which are absent in our market.
These institutions are:
-
Market Makers:
Such companies undertake to collect and
analyze information and data, which are of
remarkable significance to market traders,
dealers and investors allowing them to
take successful decisions. These companies
represent safe factors in capital markets
through intervening in the market as
buyers when prices are going down and
sellers in case prices are going up to
smooth sharp fluctuations within capital
markets.
-
Rating Companies:
The presence of dependable rating
institutions adds more reliability to
capital markets and confirms the existence
of clear disclosure and transparency for
these companies, whose shares and stocks
are traded within the capital market. The
ratings issued by these companies are
imperative for investors to ponder when
making their investment decisions.
7.
Reforms of the Financial Sector:
As previously said, the world financial
markets are passing today through a period
of fundamental transformation due to the
technological developments, introduction
of innovative financial instruments and
trends of disintermediation, deregulation
and globalization characterizing this
period. The call for more liberalization
of the money and capital markets, which
came within the context of the World Trade
Organization agreements, has gained
momentum, and concrete arrangements and
procedures are taking place towards this
end.
These drastic changes in the world
capital markets are expected to have
serious implications on the financial
systems of countries within the region.
Fierce competition predominant within
existing financial markets, which is
expected to intensify as a result of the
recent trends taking place, shall
definitely influence capital markets
existing worldwide without any exception.
Accordingly, all countries are
required to adjust and amend their laws
and systems according to these persistent
trends. Otherwise, they will be isolated
from the rest of the world, which has
become dominated by the called "survival
of the fittest" philosophy.
Jordan, consciously aware of the
significance of these changes and
transformation, has already implemented
some reforms to certain aspects of the
financial market with many other reforms
to be introduced in the near future. The
strategy in this direction, in general
terms, entails the following:
-
Controlling monetary conditions through
using indirect instruments.
-
Maintaining positive interest rates in
real terms with relatively more
flexibility in this regard compared to the
past in order to achieve efficient
market-based mobilization and allocation
of loanable funds.
-
Using the Certificates of Deposits (CDs)
in local currency issued by the Central
Bank to respond to shifts in the flow of
foreign assets and movements in the rate
of exchange, in addition to maintaining
the liquidity of the banking system in
consistency with the stability of domestic
prices.
-
Eliminating redundant monetary control
instruments, and improving, at the same
time, the efficiency of the remaining
tools.
-
Creating the proper environment for
developing efficient interbank market.
-
Improving the efficiency of the whole
system through enhancing competition among
financial institutions, mainly commercial
banks and specialized credit institutions.
In fact, all those who are familiar
with the Jordanian financial market are in
a better position to feel the considerable
progress achieved in various areas of
structural reform, with the authorities'
intention to remove and eliminate all
other impediments in other areas.
7. Future Trends to Develop Capital
Market:
Government authorities in fact have an
integrated future conception and a clear
program aiming at developing the Jordanian
capital market. This program includes the
amendment of laws and regulations
influencing this market, in addition to
the introduction of new financial
instruments.
In this respect, the financial market
will have the priority for introducing
necessary amendments, which shall include
the following:
1.
The amendment of financial market-related
regulations, including the following:
-
The separation of the securities
regulation function from the stock
exchange management.
-
The privatization of Amman Financial
Market.
-
Creation of a Central Depository.
-
Exchange of listing with other markets.
-
Strict financial disclosure regulations.
2.
The introduction of new financial
institutions and instruments:
-
Mutual funds.
-
Securities underwriters.
-
Speculative securities (out options, call
options, ..etc.).
The Jordanian financial market has
grown considerably well over the past 25
years, evidenced by the sharp increase in
the ratio of money and quasi money to GDP,
which rose from 60% during the 1970s to
over 100% during the early years of the
1990s.
The financial system was also adversely
affected by the financial crisis of the
late 1980s. However, it did not take the
financial sector more than 3-4 years to
recover as a result of the implementation
of structural reforms, a general
rebounding of the economy's activities
after 1992 and the associated
profitability of commercial banks in the
country.
Although the financial system has more
depth than before, it is still dominated
by a small number of domestic banks. The
variety of financial instruments for both
users and providers of funds is rather
limited, and the capital market, with the
exception of the stock market, is very
thin. Henceforth, the challenges in
Jordan's case is like challenges in any
other developing country, which is
represented by the challenge of funding
the most efficient investments while
managing risks and integrating with the
world financial markets.
To summarize, the financial system is
one of the most important inventions in
modern societies. The main job of this
system is to allocate scarce laonable
funds between those who save to those who
need to borrow either for consumption or
for investment purposes.
By availing funds for lending and
borrowing, the financial system provides
the means for the economy to grow and
consequently improve standards of living
of the people.
Most of the credit extended goes
normally to purchase machinery and
equipment, to construct new highways,
factories and schools, and to stock
shelves of shops, supermarkets and
department stores with goods.
Needless to say that without the
financial system, the life of every one of
us could be less enjoyable.